
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of March 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Ticker
crude-oil-all-time-high-by-march-31
Volume
314.7K
24h volume
26.2K
1w volume
237.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
112.5K
Liquidity CLOB
112.5K
Start
Mar 9, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 9, 2026
Event ID
250528
Slug
crude-oil-all-time-high-by-march-31
Markets
1
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"slug": "crude-oil-all-time-high-by-march-31",
"title": "Crude Oil all time high by March 31?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of March 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily \"High\" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.",
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"question": "Crude Oil all time high by March 31?",
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"tags": [
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"label": "Commodities",
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"slug": "oil",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:53:13.969+00",
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"label": "Iran",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 95.5% for \"No\" as WTI crude trades around $72 per barrel—less than half its $147 all-time high from July 2008—amid balanced global supply from record U.S. production and OPEC+ voluntary cuts offset by non-OPEC gains. Subdued demand growth, driven by China's economic slowdown and ample inventories reported by the EIA, caps upside potential ahead of March 31 resolution based on continuous contract highs. High confidence stems from the improbable need for a 100%+ rally without massive disruption, though tail risks include escalated Middle East conflict blocking the Strait of Hormuz or severe hurricanes slashing Gulf output by over 20%.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-20T05:34:52.706Z"
}
}