
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of March 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Ticker
crude-oil-all-time-high-by-march-31
Volume
358.4K
24h volume
67.8K
1w volume
277.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
107.2K
Liquidity CLOB
107.2K
Start
Mar 9, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 9, 2026
Event ID
250528
Slug
crude-oil-all-time-high-by-march-31
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"question": "Crude Oil all time high by March 31?",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that crude oil won't reach its 2008 all-time high of $147 per barrel by March 31, with \"No\" shares at 97.2% implied probability, driven by WTI's current price around $71—requiring a doubling in under five months amid bearish fundamentals. Oversupplied markets from record U.S. shale output and OPEC+ production hikes, coupled with softening global demand from China's economic slowdown and recession risks, anchor prices in the $70s per EIA forecasts. Consensus trader sentiment dismisses upside catalysts like inventory draws, but tail risks include Middle East escalation disrupting 20% of supply or extreme weather halting Gulf production, potentially sparking a volatility spike.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-20T08:05:42.268Z"
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}- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Vol 358.4KLiq 107.2KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book