
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
fact-check-maduro-capture-staged
Volume
302.2K
24h volume
217
1w volume
3.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
33.5K
Liquidity CLOB
33.5K
Start
Jan 5, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 5, 2026
Event ID
144065
Slug
fact-check-maduro-capture-staged
Markets
1
{
"id": "144065",
"ticker": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
"slug": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
"title": "Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nStatements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-05T02:03:52.881151Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-05T02:03:52.881146Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 33463.95577,
"volume": 302174.982427,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-01-05T01:17:37.751161Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:42:03.842715Z",
"competitive": 0.8054303726585385,
"volume24hr": 216.89,
"volume1wk": 3349.7699999999995,
"volume1mo": 40725.35273299998,
"volume1yr": 302174.98242700007,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 33463.95577,
"commentCount": 17,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1110978",
"question": "Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?",
"conditionId": "0x4cd373cd35f29c39a4fb45b7c31f8619d142aec0b4f863245510d1b3169c5502",
"slug": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "33463.95577",
"startDate": "2026-01-05T01:56:22.13495Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nStatements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",
"volume": "302174.982427",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-05T01:17:38.404867Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T13:41:19.072704Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x86b0b3c1908ac9e68b620a09515614ca2e25474a8ee184482deb2bf91d0044a6",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 302174.982427,
"liquidityNum": 33463.95577,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-05",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 216.89,
"volume1wk": 3349.7699999999995,
"volume1mo": 40725.35273299998,
"volume1yr": 302174.98242700007,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"84069473935165351972276705236383556169680393022273915071410739649312503448207\", \"98560565935172745402740694007292000870146075981463356880523031464588273388261\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 216.89,
"volume1wkClob": 3349.7699999999995,
"volume1moClob": 40725.35273299998,
"volume1yrClob": 302174.98242700007,
"volumeClob": 302174.982427,
"liquidityClob": 33463.95577,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-05T01:55:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8054303726585385,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.008,
"bestBid": 0.008,
"bestAsk": 0.009,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-05T01:54:27.765581Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "246",
"label": "Venezuela",
"slug": "venezuela",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:43:20.341+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:43:20.356Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:16:40.556019Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}