Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

fact-check-maduro-capture-staged

Volume

347.7K

24h volume

44.3K

1w volume

46.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

35.6K

Liquidity CLOB

35.6K

Start

Jan 5, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 5, 2026

Event ID

144065

Slug

fact-check-maduro-capture-staged

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "144065",
  "ticker": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
  "slug": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
  "title": "Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nStatements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-05T02:03:52.881151Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-05T02:03:52.881146Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 35589.12389,
  "volume": 347682.889943,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-01-05T01:17:37.751161Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:04:01.649067Z",
  "competitive": 0.8047925395731582,
  "volume24hr": 44348.607516000004,
  "volume1wk": 46433.407516,
  "volume1mo": 71012.76458100001,
  "volume1yr": 346645.4999430001,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 35589.12389,
  "commentCount": 17,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1110978",
      "question": "Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?",
      "conditionId": "0x4cd373cd35f29c39a4fb45b7c31f8619d142aec0b4f863245510d1b3169c5502",
      "slug": "fact-check-maduro-capture-staged",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "35589.12389",
      "startDate": "2026-01-05T01:56:22.13495Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fact-check-maduro-capture-staged-oCxiN5B83Dgy.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nStatements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]",
      "volume": "347682.889943",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-05T01:17:38.404867Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:03:29.549648Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x86b0b3c1908ac9e68b620a09515614ca2e25474a8ee184482deb2bf91d0044a6",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 347682.889943,
      "liquidityNum": 35589.12389,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-05",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 44348.607516000004,
      "volume1wk": 46433.407516,
      "volume1mo": 71012.76458100001,
      "volume1yr": 346645.4999430001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"84069473935165351972276705236383556169680393022273915071410739649312503448207\", \"98560565935172745402740694007292000870146075981463356880523031464588273388261\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 44348.607516000004,
      "volume1wkClob": 46433.407516,
      "volume1moClob": 71012.76458100001,
      "volume1yrClob": 346645.4999430001,
      "volumeClob": 347682.889943,
      "liquidityClob": 35589.12389,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-05T01:55:59Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8047925395731582,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0015,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0035,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.006,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.011,
      "bestBid": 0.007,
      "bestAsk": 0.008,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-05T01:54:27.765581Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "246",
      "label": "Venezuela",
      "slug": "venezuela",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:43:20.341+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:43:20.356Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:16:40.556019Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false
}