
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile, drone, or other strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Ticker
iran-strike-on-us-military-by-february-28
Volume
604.0K
24h volume
83.6K
1w volume
134.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
7.0K
Liquidity CLOB
7.0K
Start
Jan 19, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 19, 2026
Event ID
168315
Slug
iran-strike-on-us-military-by-february-28
Markets
1
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