
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026
Volume
2.4M
24h volume
56.4K
1w volume
399.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
39.9K
Liquidity CLOB
39.9K
Start
Dec 2, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 2, 2025
Event ID
95358
Slug
israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026
Markets
1
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