Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026

Volume

2.5M

24h volume

59.1K

1w volume

429.5K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

43.2K

Liquidity CLOB

43.2K

Start

Dec 2, 2025

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 2, 2025

Event ID

95358

Slug

israel-strikes-iran-by-march-31-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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