
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Khamenei leaves Iran Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Khamenei leaves Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "No". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
nothing-ever-happens-khamenei
Volume
643.0K
24h volume
5.6K
1w volume
53.5K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
18.5K
Liquidity CLOB
18.5K
Start
Jan 5, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 5, 2026
Event ID
145955
Slug
nothing-ever-happens-khamenei
Markets
1
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"ticker": "nothing-ever-happens-khamenei",
"slug": "nothing-ever-happens-khamenei",
"title": "Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei",
"description": "This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran\n- Khamenei leaves Iran\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nKhamenei leaves Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"No\". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"No\". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-05T23:28:09.621731Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-05T23:28:09.621728Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-khamenei-leave-iran-by-friday-ZHQbF7rffb2X.jpg",
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"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-01-05T22:44:15.273831Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T11:28:06.113558Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran\n- Khamenei leaves Iran\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nKhamenei leaves Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"No\". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"No\". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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"createdAt": "2026-01-05T22:44:16.221026Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T11:27:40.17853Z",
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"lastTradePrice": 0.74,
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"label": "Trump",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
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