Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Khamenei leaves Iran Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Khamenei leaves Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "No". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

nothing-ever-happens-khamenei

Volume

652.1K

24h volume

2.6K

1w volume

56.0K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

24.4K

Liquidity CLOB

24.4K

Start

Jan 5, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 5, 2026

Event ID

145955

Slug

nothing-ever-happens-khamenei

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-khamenei",
  "title": "Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:\n\n- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran\n- Khamenei leaves Iran\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.\n\nKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nKhamenei leaves Iran:\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"No\". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"No\". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-05T23:28:09.621731Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-05T23:28:09.621728Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei",
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      "slug": "middle-east",
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