
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Ticker
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026
Volume
18.6M
24h volume
136.7K
1w volume
2.0M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
856.7K
Liquidity CLOB
856.7K
Start
Jul 10, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 10, 2025
Event ID
31759
Slug
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026
Markets
1
Tags
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