Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Ticker

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026

Volume

18.9M

24h volume

98.5K

1w volume

2.1M

Open interest

0

Liquidity

731.9K

Liquidity CLOB

731.9K

Start

Jul 10, 2025

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 10, 2025

Event ID

31759

Slug

russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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