US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, driven by the collapse of indirect talks amid heightened military tensions and deep mutual distrust. Iran's foreign minister denied ongoing negotiations as recently as late March, following stalled multilateral discussions in February that yielded no agreement on curbing Tehran's uranium enrichment or lifting US sanctions. US strikes damaged key Iranian nuclear sites in 2025, while IAEA reports highlight blocked inspector access and growing highly enriched uranium stockpiles, complicating any path to diplomacy. President Trump's threats of further action and April 6 deadlines underscore maximum pressure over concessions, with only weeks remaining. A surprise mediated ceasefire via Pakistan or Oman could shift odds, but current impasse favors no deal.",
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