
Prediction market · Polymarket
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Ticker
will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
12.9K
1w volume
49.3K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
16.7K
Liquidity CLOB
16.7K
Start
Apr 15, 2025
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 15, 2025
Event ID
22863
Slug
will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025
Markets
1
{
"id": "22863",
"ticker": "will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025",
"slug": "will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025",
"title": "Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.\n",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:18:35.624634Z",
"creationDate": "2025-04-15T22:18:35.624632Z",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025-C4N7xChXvMV4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025-C4N7xChXvMV4.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 16708.26623,
"volume": 1318659.193592,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:40:58.361235Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T22:13:21.911547Z",
"competitive": 0.810839957220084,
"volume24hr": 12927.649672999996,
"volume1wk": 49343.13841999992,
"volume1mo": 230152.39507800055,
"volume1yr": 1317010.6503079988,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 16708.26623,
"commentCount": 40,
"markets": [
{
"id": "537490",
"question": "Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?",
"conditionId": "0x53700c2b2fa65e0a3775c757d0c705be4bee8c265c49d283ef50a0dfb3bf8894",
"slug": "will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "16708.26623",
"startDate": "2025-04-15T22:17:42.099593Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025-C4N7xChXvMV4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025-C4N7xChXvMV4.jpg",
"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nIf the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nThe resolution source will be the Treasury Department.\n",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
"volume": "1318659.193592",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-04-15T21:40:58.785759Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-20T22:13:06.854637Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x6b4f3ba677936a61e83fad5b685529265a1e48c84d7ce1f48e7a0e89b141ef82",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1318659.193592,
"liquidityNum": 16708.26623,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-04-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 12927.649672999996,
"volume1wk": 49343.13841999992,
"volume1mo": 230152.39507800055,
"volume1yr": 1317010.6503079988,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"7935869750973568991063634796432742901043529564448603464914559127943627115874\", \"40635745065483171354210492699079862696789237657248181561502664751201684944045\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 12927.649672999996,
"volume1wkClob": 49343.13841999992,
"volume1moClob": 230152.39507800055,
"volume1yrClob": 1317010.6503079988,
"volumeClob": 1318659.193592,
"liquidityClob": 16708.26623,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-04-15T22:16:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.810839957220084,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.004,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.004,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.015,
"bestBid": 0.015,
"bestAsk": 0.019,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101110",
"label": "Creators",
"slug": "creators",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-10-28T20:20:36.765346Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:04:11.82463Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101191",
"label": "Trump Presidency",
"slug": "trump-presidency",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-11-06T04:59:43.354523Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:42.741523Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101761",
"label": "Trade War",
"slug": "trade-war",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-02T19:17:11.9689Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:06:52.305831Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101288",
"label": "All-In",
"slug": "all-in",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-11-19T20:54:03.523856Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.214914Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101296",
"label": "Jason Calacanis",
"slug": "jason-calacanis",
"createdAt": "2024-11-20T15:54:14.092383Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:19:40.846915Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"eventCreators": [
{
"id": "12",
"creatorName": "Jason Calacanis",
"creatorHandle": "Jason",
"creatorUrl": "https://x.com/Jason",
"creatorImage": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1828870492633104384/o37xorx4_400x400.jpg",
"createdAt": "2024-11-19T16:40:49.69897Z"
}
],
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}