Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) is greater than $250b. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Ticker

will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025

Volume

1.3M

24h volume

8.5K

1w volume

50.1K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

18.3K

Liquidity CLOB

18.3K

Start

Apr 15, 2025

End

Feb 28, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 15, 2025

Event ID

22863

Slug

will-tariffs-generate-250b-in-2025

Markets

1

Tags

TrumpPoliticsCreatorsTrump PresidencyTrade WarAll-InJason Calacanis
Raw event data
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