Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Name: Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Start: 2026-02-18T22:39:30.556204Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Ticker

will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31

Volume

273.4K

24h volume

71.4K

1w volume

241.1K

Open interest

Liquidity

45.2K

Liquidity CLOB

45.2K

Start

Feb 18, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 18, 2026

Event ID

215193

Slug

will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31

Markets

Tags

Israel World Geopolitics Trump Iran Politics Middle East

Raw event data

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Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Vol 273.4KLiq 45.2KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book