Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Ticker

will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31

Volume

273.4K

24h volume

71.4K

1w volume

241.1K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

45.2K

Liquidity CLOB

45.2K

Start

Feb 18, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 18, 2026

Event ID

215193

Slug

will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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