100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Ticker

100m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-week-by-march-31

Volume

98.0K

24h volume

30.1K

1w volume

63.1K

Open interest

28.4K

Liquidity

7.5K

Liquidity CLOB

7.5K

Start

Dec 23, 2025

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 23, 2025

Event ID

119870

Slug

100m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-week-by-march-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "100m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-week-by-march-31",
  "title": "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-23T22:46:43.272601Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-23T22:46:43.272595Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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  "createdAt": "2025-12-23T19:48:13.069645Z",
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      "id": "1006465",
      "question": "100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted is greater than or equal to 100 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "ticker": "100m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video",
      "slug": "100m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video",
      "title": "100m views on a MrBeast video",
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      "id": "145",
      "label": "MrBeast",
      "slug": "mrbeast",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:52.524+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.827571Z",
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      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
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      "label": "YouTube",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:53.403+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Traders overwhelmingly back \"No\" at 97.4% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's February 24 upload—\"Would a $14 vs $1,750,000 Plane Ticket Change Your Life?\"—garnering only about 20 million views in its debut week, far below the 100 million threshold, with no subsequent main-channel video released before March 31 cutoff. His massive 300-million-subscriber base typically delivers explosive 24-hour view velocities of 50-80 million on blockbusters, but recent outputs have cooled amid a deliberate upload slowdown for Beast Games prep and Feastables expansion. Historical precedents show first-week peaks rarely sustain 100 million without mega-stunts like Squid Game recreations. Realistic upsets hinge on an unannounced late-March drop igniting algorithm-fueled virality, though MrBeast's schedule suggests otherwise, cementing trader confidence.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T21:25:00.214Z"
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}