10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Ticker

10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027

Volume

491.8K

24h volume

6.9K

1w volume

41.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

41.9K

Liquidity CLOB

41.9K

Start

Dec 8, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 8, 2025

Event ID

100314

Slug

10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027",
  "title": "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. \n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.",
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  "creationDate": "2025-12-08T23:28:19.340599Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "id": "897844",
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