
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ticker
10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027
Volume
491.8K
24h volume
6.9K
1w volume
41.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
41.9K
Liquidity CLOB
41.9K
Start
Dec 8, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 8, 2025
Event ID
100314
Slug
10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"title": "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?",
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}- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Vol 491.8KLiq 41.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book