50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Ticker

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-march-31

Volume

97.0K

24h volume

7.9K

1w volume

26.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

15.7K

Liquidity CLOB

15.7K

Start

Dec 23, 2025

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 23, 2025

Event ID

119877

Slug

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-march-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-march-31",
  "title": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-23T22:46:44.063018Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-23T22:46:44.063014Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
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  "volume": 96990.10352700004,
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  "createdAt": "2025-12-23T19:55:47.740903Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-21T06:38:36.749659Z",
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      "id": "1006532",
      "question": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n",
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      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0105,
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      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1655,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.021,
      "bestBid": 0.018,
      "bestAsk": 0.023,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
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    {
      "id": "145",
      "label": "MrBeast",
      "slug": "mrbeast",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:52.524+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:52.559Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.827571Z",
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      "label": "YouTube",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:53.403+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:53.409Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors \"No\" at 98% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent videos consistently falling short of 50 million first-day YouTube views—his March 23 upload \"Last To Take Hand Off $1,000,000 Keeps It\" peaked at 38 million in 24 hours, while earlier March efforts topped out around 42 million. With March 31 approaching and no new video announced poised to shatter records, the window for a qualifying hit narrows dramatically. Historical precedents show MrBeast capable of 60 million-plus day-one hauls on mega-stunts, but algorithm shifts and content saturation have tempered recent peaks. A realistic upset would require an unannounced, ultra-viral upload in the final days igniting explosive global hype.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-21T06:23:14.031Z"
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}