Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice

Volume

9.7K

24h volume

951

1w volume

7.3K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

5.8K

Liquidity CLOB

5.8K

Start

Mar 9, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 9, 2026

Event ID

257477

Slug

alexandre-de-moraes-out-as-brazil-supreme-court-justice

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
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      "id": "1544795",
      "question": "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?",
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      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
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    {
      "id": "104145",
      "label": "remove",
      "slug": "remove",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-09T21:30:40.739597Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:23.707769Z",
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      "slug": "brazil",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:22.386769Z",
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      "label": "impeach",
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    "context_description": "Justice Alexandre de Moraes' entrenched position on Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF), bolstered by lifetime tenure until age 75 and strong institutional support, drives the 70% \"No\" odds implying traders see low risk of his removal. Despite over 170 impeachment petitions from Bolsonaro allies—fueled by his rulings on social media censorship, January 8 riot probes, and clashes with Elon Musk—Chamber of Deputies Speaker Arthur Lira has archived most requests, with recent commissions rejecting key ones like those tied to X platform disputes. Lula administration backing and the high bar of 342 lower-house votes for impeachment underscore limited opposition momentum, aligning with historical rarity of STF justice ousters. Traders await any congressional catalysts amid ongoing tensions.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-17T18:18:27.339Z"
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