
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
anthropic-500b-valuation-in-2026
Volume
9.1K
24h volume
12
1w volume
770
Open interest
0
Liquidity
3.3K
Liquidity CLOB
3.3K
Start
Jan 29, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 29, 2026
Event ID
192790
Slug
anthropic-500b-valuation-in-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "192790",
"ticker": "anthropic-500b-valuation-in-2026",
"slug": "anthropic-500b-valuation-in-2026",
"title": "Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-29T20:37:54.021689Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-29T20:37:54.021686Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 3276.7277,
"volume": 9070.986822999997,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-01-29T18:18:35.423156Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-15T23:49:48.833137Z",
"competitive": 0.8936350841134023,
"volume24hr": 11.870000000000001,
"volume1wk": 769.9575530000001,
"volume1mo": 3766.737333,
"volume1yr": 9070.986823,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 3276.7277,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1294391",
"question": "Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x99d6a3a8470ef464a5be2afe6872b97a22f5935f60c0303e0365d6a7e96e5605",
"slug": "anthropic-500b-valuation-in-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2909.1645",
"startDate": "2026-01-29T20:37:08.179203Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. \n\nThe resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.845\", \"0.155\"]",
"volume": "9070.986822999997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-29T18:18:36.755843Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-15T23:53:04.397594Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x70fd9dea6f3205e234cc2eb50ae963de32deb3ec6c2ae30b13a8dae2fb2de607",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 9070.986822999997,
"liquidityNum": 2909.1645,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-29",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 11.870000000000001,
"volume1wk": 769.9575530000001,
"volume1mo": 3766.737333,
"volume1yr": 9070.986823,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"25168552976283310912525972874511113773856625915244891078917895931067106659854\", \"18451853872596288009380325430737821674293883873458354513887021731566080507233\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 11.870000000000001,
"volume1wkClob": 769.9575530000001,
"volume1moClob": 3766.737333,
"volume1yrClob": 9070.986823,
"volumeClob": 9070.986822999997,
"liquidityClob": 2909.1645,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-29T20:36:02Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8936350841134023,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "64746",
"conditionId": "0x99d6a3a8470ef464a5be2afe6872b97a22f5935f60c0303e0365d6a7e96e5605",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2026-01-29",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.05,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.025,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.03,
"lastTradePrice": 0.82,
"bestBid": 0.82,
"bestAsk": 0.87,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-29T20:34:47.866733Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "103648",
"label": "Claude 5",
"slug": "claude-5",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-02-04T23:44:44.373084Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:21:21.88153Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "439",
"label": "AI",
"slug": "ai",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:08:32.469+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T23:08:32.49Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.747836Z",
"isCarousel": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "553",
"label": "anthropic",
"slug": "anthropic",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-21 05:38:43.983+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-21T05:38:43.998Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:02.37246Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Vol 9.1KLiq 2.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book