Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market refers on the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

atp-michels-bellucc-2026-03-19

Volume

11.1K

24h volume

7.2K

1w volume

11.1K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

34.3K

Liquidity CLOB

34.3K

Start

Mar 18, 2026

End

Mar 26, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 19, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Event ID

281753

Slug

atp-michels-bellucc-2026-03-19

Markets

10

Raw event data
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  "title": "Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Mattia Bellucci",
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      "question": "Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)",
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      "description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 2026.\nThis market will resolve to \"Michelsen\" if Alex Michelsen wins by 2 or more sets than Mattia Bellucci, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Bellucci.\"\nIf the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP results.",
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      "resolutionSource": "https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current",
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      "description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 2026.\nThis market will resolve to “Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins the first set.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Michelsen\", \"Bellucci\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.615\", \"0.385\"]",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-18T05:00:15.67594Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-19T21:55:47.691674Z",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/atp-tour-b4390c4fb8.jpg",
      "description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 2026.\nThis market will resolve to \"Over\" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Under.\"\nAll tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP statistics.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Over\", \"Under\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.44\", \"0.56\"]",
      "active": true,
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      "description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Mattia Bellucci in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 2026.\nThis market will resolve to \"Over\" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Under.\"\nA super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP statistics.",
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    "context_description": "Mattia Bellucci's surging hard-court form anchors his 65% implied probability as trader consensus favorite over Alex Michelsen in this Miami Open first-round clash. The Italian qualifier enters on a high after capturing the Phoenix Challenger title last week—his second Challenger crown of 2024—showcasing aggressive baseline play and a 7-2 record across his past nine hard-court matches. Michelsen, meanwhile, limps in off a second-round exit at Indian Wells, with just a 4-5 ledger in his last nine outings and vulnerability exposed against lefty servers like Bellucci. No injuries mar official reports for either, but the American's home-crowd edge faces the challenger's momentum in this debut head-to-head on fast DecoTurf. Odds reflect crowds' nod to recent results over raw rankings (Michelsen 51st, Bellucci 103rd).",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-18T05:00:11.211Z",
    "league": "Miami Open"
  }
}