Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Arthur Fils in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
atp-paul-fils-2026-03-25
Volume
1.0M
24h volume
1.0M
1w volume
1.0M
Open interest
502.5K
Liquidity
1.4M
Liquidity CLOB
1.4M
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 2, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 26, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Event ID
304635
Slug
atp-paul-fils-2026-03-25
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T05:43:30.131432Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-26 04:05:53+00",
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"question": "Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current",
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"description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Arthur Fils in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 26 2026.\nThis market will resolve to \"Over\" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Under.\"\nAll tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP statistics.",
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"question": "Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)",
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"context_description": "Arthur Fils enters as a slim favorite at 56% implied probability against Tommy Paul in the Miami Open round of 32, buoyed by his breakout hard-court form, including a Chile Open title and straight-sets wins over strong opponents like Jordan Thompson here. Paul's steady baseline game and Miami familiarity offer counterbalance—he's 5-2 lifetime in the event—but recent fatigue from Indian Wells and a 2-3 record in his last five matches tempers trader confidence. No major injuries reported for either per official updates; head-to-head is uncharted, yet Fils' superior serve hold percentage (88% over last 10 matches) and youth edge (19 vs. 27) justify the market's lean amid neutral hard-court dynamics.",
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}- Set 1 Winner: Paul vs FilsVol 1.2KLiq —End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Paul vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol 333Liq 0End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Paul vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol 195Liq 0End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Paul vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol 168Liq 0End Apr 2, 2026Closed
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Vol 5.3KLiq 243.5KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tommy Paul vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol 2.7KLiq 256.7KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Vol 2.0KLiq 220.1KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Vol 1.3KLiq 220.5KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur FilsVol 1.0MLiq 1.4MEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Vol 4.7KLiq 290.4KEnd Apr 2, 2026OpenOrder book