Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

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    "context_description": "Polymarket's 68.5% implied probability for no Bank of Canada rate hike in 2026 reflects trader consensus anchored by the BoC's dovish pivot, including a 50 basis point cut to 3.75% on December 11 amid inflation easing to 1.9% headline and a softening labor market with unemployment at 6.8%. Overnight index swaps project rates stabilizing around 2.75% by late 2025, supported by modest GDP growth forecasts and global disinflation trends mirroring Fed easing. Absent resurgent price pressures, upside risks to policy tightening remain low, with traders eyeing January 29's policy decision and Q1 CPI data as pivotal catalysts for shifting odds.",
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