Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?

Prediction market ยท Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Ticker

bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-25-2026

Volume

107.7K

24h volume

107.6K

1w volume

107.7K

Open interest

39.9K

Liquidity

39.2K

Liquidity CLOB

39.2K

Start

Mar 23, 2026

End

Mar 25, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 24, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Event ID

300280

Slug

bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-25-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "id": "300280",
  "ticker": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-25-2026",
  "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-25-2026",
  "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
  "startDate": "2026-03-23T16:40:15.201128Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-24T16:00:00Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 39179.5997,
  "volume": 107664.3224680001,
  "openInterest": 39945.113765,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-23T16:00:00.531056Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T02:05:27.414229Z",
  "competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
  "volume24hr": 107606.53463899993,
  "volume1wk": 107664.32246799993,
  "volume1mo": 107664.32246799993,
  "volume1yr": 107664.32246799993,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 39179.5997,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1692084",
      "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?",
      "conditionId": "0x4aee6d112e7d5066fca80ac4a51bb50e82d3f2dd86f1cf18881ae37de804555c",
      "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-25-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
      "endDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "39355.6508",
      "startDate": "2026-03-23T16:37:12.661979Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",
      "volume": "107674.3224680001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-23T16:00:01.182627Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T02:07:27.281971Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "questionID": "0x072bd80a1f7fdd5ac0681da7460982834354d8719cd10347909910822f8b1249",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 107674.3224680001,
      "liquidityNum": 39355.6508,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-25",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-23",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 107616.53463899993,
      "volume1wk": 107674.32246799993,
      "volume1mo": 107674.32246799993,
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      "clobTokenIds": "[\"85931763551203185716680197038904392147161468754272679883421795776647650150422\", \"101886662425135187217726872438182777721700134239119929235960771870114547472819\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "2",
      "volume24hrClob": 107616.53463899993,
      "volume1wkClob": 107674.32246799993,
      "volume1moClob": 107674.32246799993,
      "volume1yrClob": 107674.32246799993,
      "volumeClob": 107674.3224680001,
      "liquidityClob": 39355.6508,
      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:36:07Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
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          "conditionId": "0x4aee6d112e7d5066fca80ac4a51bb50e82d3f2dd86f1cf18881ae37de804555c",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-24",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
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      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.71,
      "bestBid": 0.71,
      "bestAsk": 0.72,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-23T16:00:19.844208Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "eventStartTime": "2026-03-24T16:00:00Z",
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": "crypto_fees",
      "feeSchedule": {
        "exponent": 2,
        "rate": 0.25,
        "takerOnly": true,
        "rebateRate": 0.2
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  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "41",
      "ticker": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
      "slug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
      "title": "BTC Up or Down Daily",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
      "layout": "default",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
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      "publishedAt": "2023-03-14 16:37:23.07+00",
      "createdBy": "15",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T02:05:33.635191Z",
      "commentsEnabled": false,
      "competitive": "0",
      "volume24hr": 467470.360936,
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      "liquidity": 52695.6099,
      "commentCount": 6706,
      "requiresTranslation": false
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  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "102281",
      "label": "Daily",
      "slug": "daily",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-06-17T20:32:17.531984Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.539978Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
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    },
    {
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      "label": "Daily-Close",
      "slug": "daily-close",
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      "createdAt": "2026-02-05T19:41:58.984977Z",
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      "slug": "crypto",
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      "label": "Recurring",
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      "createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.498535Z",
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      "label": "Hide From New",
      "slug": "hide-from-new",
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      "createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
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    {
      "id": "235",
      "label": "Bitcoin",
      "slug": "bitcoin",
      "forceShow": true,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00",
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      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z",
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      "label": "Up or Down",
      "slug": "up-or-down",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z",
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      "id": "102133",
      "label": "Today ๐Ÿš€",
      "slug": "today",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-13T11:57:56.529848Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.416962Z",
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  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "startTime": "2026-03-24T16:00:00Z",
  "seriesSlug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "priceToBeat": 69838.04
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}