
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?
Prediction market ยท Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Ticker
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-26-2026
Volume
120.7K
24h volume
120.1K
1w volume
120.7K
Open interest
39.0K
Liquidity
47.3K
Liquidity CLOB
47.3K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Mar 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 25, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Event ID
303688
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-26-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"id": "303688",
"ticker": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-26-2026",
"slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-26-2026",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T16:06:21.809316Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T16:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 47278.9238,
"volume": 120736.21093599961,
"openInterest": 38975.345915,
"createdAt": "2026-03-24T16:00:00.509513Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T07:48:32.102511Z",
"competitive": 0.9476651898884124,
"volume24hr": 120065.29486700005,
"volume1wk": 120736.21093600006,
"volume1mo": 120736.21093600006,
"volume1yr": 120736.21093600006,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 47278.9238,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1705506",
"question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?",
"conditionId": "0xd4d30a43c0d2b9909bdc580953d763d989e73fb4f42cbc8af684426ee14d3ada",
"slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-26-2026",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"endDate": "2026-03-26T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "47964.7576",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T16:02:55.111612Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Mar 26 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
"outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]",
"volume": "121560.0953669996",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-24T16:00:01.28239Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T07:47:55.450673Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"questionID": "0xf4a5b56d609e8c015d4bbd9ccdb9abddc64d221dd6399563eb00193aedc749e4",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 121560.0953669996,
"liquidityNum": 47964.7576,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 120889.17929800005,
"volume1wk": 121560.09536700005,
"volume1mo": 121560.09536700005,
"volume1yr": 121560.09536700005,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"18866014626737928443821039449630370518236674746517359862045607707088533839832\", \"57694126797751894794884036963750433743600396404463662133568968451155784404719\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
"volume24hrClob": 120889.17929800005,
"volume1wkClob": 121560.09536700005,
"volume1moClob": 121560.09536700005,
"volume1yrClob": 121560.09536700005,
"volumeClob": 121560.0953669996,
"liquidityClob": 47964.7576,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-24T16:01:49Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9433739770288437,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.25,
"bestBid": 0.25,
"bestAsk": 0.26,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-24T16:00:20.865859Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"eventStartTime": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "crypto_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 2,
"rate": 0.25,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.2
}
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "41",
"ticker": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"slug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"title": "BTC Up or Down Daily",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
"layout": "default",
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"closed": false,
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"restricted": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-03-14 16:37:23.07+00",
"createdBy": "15",
"updatedBy": "15",
"createdAt": "2023-03-14T16:37:21.67Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-26T07:48:37.406287Z",
"commentsEnabled": false,
"competitive": "0",
"volume24hr": 396325.4364210001,
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"liquidity": 68492.583,
"commentCount": 6708,
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],
"tags": [
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1312",
"label": "Crypto Prices",
"slug": "crypto-prices",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00",
"createdBy": 15,
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:41.74693Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101757",
"label": "Recurring",
"slug": "recurring",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.498535Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.476595Z",
"isCarousel": false,
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},
{
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"label": "Bitcoin",
"slug": "bitcoin",
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"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.537313Z",
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{
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"label": "Up or Down",
"slug": "up-or-down",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z",
"isCarousel": false,
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},
{
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"label": "Today ๐",
"slug": "today",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2025-05-13T11:57:56.529848Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.416962Z",
"isCarousel": false,
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{
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"label": "Daily",
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"createdAt": "2025-06-17T20:32:17.531984Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.539978Z",
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{
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"label": "Daily-Close",
"slug": "daily-close",
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"createdAt": "2026-02-05T19:41:58.984977Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:21:21.907106Z",
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],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-03-25T16:00:00Z",
"seriesSlug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"priceToBeat": 70850.63
}
}- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?Vol 121.6KLiq 48.0KEnd Mar 26, 2026OpenOrder book