Blue tsunami in 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf

Ticker

blue-tsunami-in-2026

Volume

9.7K

24h volume

2.0K

1w volume

2.3K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

7.8K

Liquidity CLOB

7.8K

Start

Jan 14, 2026

End

Nov 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 14, 2026

Event ID

160533

Slug

blue-tsunami-in-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "160533",
  "ticker": "blue-tsunami-in-2026",
  "slug": "blue-tsunami-in-2026",
  "title": "Blue tsunami in 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:\n\n- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House\n- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-14T00:55:49.728371Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-14T00:55:49.728367Z",
  "endDate": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ts-383309bc1a.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ts-383309bc1a.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 7843.1513,
  "volume": 9732.541971,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-01-12T22:53:20.383546Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-25T22:55:56.728138Z",
  "competitive": 0.9615384615384615,
  "volume24hr": 1950.660303,
  "volume1wk": 2328.3351319999997,
  "volume1mo": 3680.658694,
  "volume1yr": 6762.671971,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 7843.1513,
  "commentCount": 1,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1170844",
      "question": "Blue tsunami in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x5f5cf92636c3644a6221fba15d00e8aab9d539c17a0d25d8ae8d15220cbd2cb9",
      "slug": "blue-tsunami-in-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-11-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "7843.1513",
      "startDate": "2026-01-14T00:53:28.091457Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ts-383309bc1a.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ts-383309bc1a.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:\n\n- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House\n- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.3\", \"0.7\"]",
      "volume": "9732.541971",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-12T22:53:21.372035Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-25T22:54:49.430557Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xa8248074a050a753967703fa235147dc324296482db66ddfb3e533366fcc82c1",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 9732.541971,
      "liquidityNum": 7843.1513,
      "endDateIso": "2026-11-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-14",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1950.660303,
      "volume1wk": 2328.3351319999997,
      "volume1mo": 3680.658694,
      "volume1yr": 6762.671971,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"104553523523914235759341374025389236788228938851306015279604263702927625849402\", \"41459524264337272546561188587282154510414592209325388586279352627772498337794\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1950.660303,
      "volume1wkClob": 2328.3351319999997,
      "volume1moClob": 3680.658694,
      "volume1yrClob": 6762.671971,
      "volumeClob": 9732.541971,
      "liquidityClob": 7843.1513,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-14T00:53:06Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9615384615384615,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "55119",
          "conditionId": "0x5f5cf92636c3644a6221fba15d00e8aab9d539c17a0d25d8ae8d15220cbd2cb9",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 1,
          "startDate": "2026-01-14",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.02,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.065,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.015,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.31,
      "bestBid": 0.29,
      "bestAsk": 0.31,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-14T00:52:31.004602Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "514",
      "label": "Congress",
      "slug": "congress",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-16 16:28:14.421+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-16T16:28:14.438Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:41.123307Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "144",
      "label": "Elections",
      "slug": "elections",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:31.198Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:14:30.314987Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102289",
      "label": "Midterms",
      "slug": "midterms",
      "createdAt": "2025-06-19T20:54:40.884795Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:17:50.745239Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101337",
      "label": "Parlays",
      "slug": "parlays",
      "createdAt": "2024-11-27T20:28:32.874197Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:25:01.171312Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1101",
      "label": "US Election",
      "slug": "us-presidential-election",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:42:10.126+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:42:10.132Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:20.115377Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false
}