California voter ID referendum passes?

{
  "id": "276957",
  "ticker": "california-voter-id-referendum-passes",
  "slug": "california-voter-id-referendum-passes",
  "title": "California voter ID referendum passes?",
  "description": "The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.\n\nIf the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.\n\nThe resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-16T22:05:54.539463Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-16T22:05:54.539458Z",
  "endDate": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-redistricting-referendum-passes-AjkCEtumUPJX.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-redistricting-referendum-passes-AjkCEtumUPJX.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 8035.5426,
  "volume": 1553.6897900000001,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-16T18:46:33.270688Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-17T06:32:07.888765Z",
  "competitive": 0.9366804046459348,
  "volume24hr": 1553.6897900000004,
  "volume1wk": 1553.6897900000004,
  "volume1mo": 1553.6897900000004,
  "volume1yr": 1553.6897900000004,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 8035.5426,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1609736",
      "question": "California voter ID referendum passes?",
      "conditionId": "0x92b502c683e2cc8cad23d670ad5e1d6efbf51fdc70310f8594e4c2ffc663bed4",
      "slug": "california-voter-id-referendum-passes",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "8035.5426",
      "startDate": "2026-03-16T22:04:22.871139Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-redistricting-referendum-passes-AjkCEtumUPJX.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/california-redistricting-referendum-passes-AjkCEtumUPJX.png",
      "description": "The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.\n\nIf the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.\n\nThe resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.24\", \"0.76\"]",
      "volume": "1553.6897900000001",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-16T18:46:34.442374Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-17T06:31:32.067705Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xd46fc7f7b71bbc9f8a45cf798f7eb0cb2a11bf0d60a06a74ddbe9f6e01d9227e",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 1553.6897900000001,
      "liquidityNum": 8035.5426,
      "endDateIso": "2026-11-03",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-16",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1wk": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1mo": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1yr": 1553.6897900000004,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"61658513487550483815822606579042869309685641370087366766713100085875466253498\", \"6095405751098413330147074417731029791619505917809667742720880140261284838129\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1wkClob": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1moClob": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volume1yrClob": 1553.6897900000004,
      "volumeClob": 1553.6897900000001,
      "liquidityClob": 8035.5426,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-16T22:03:17Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9366804046459348,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "103893",
          "conditionId": "0x92b502c683e2cc8cad23d670ad5e1d6efbf51fdc70310f8594e4c2ffc663bed4",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 60,
          "startDate": "2026-03-16",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.02,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.22,
      "bestBid": 0.23,
      "bestAsk": 0.25,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-16T22:02:01.709343Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "342",
      "label": "California",
      "slug": "california",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:58:32.677+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:58:32.702Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.269639Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "177",
      "label": "gavin newsom",
      "slug": "gavin-newsom",
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:30:46.001+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:30:46.018Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.106609Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103943",
      "label": "voter ID",
      "slug": "voter-id",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-26T20:41:52.570939Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:24.302863Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104240",
      "label": "referendums",
      "slug": "referendums",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-16T22:00:38.684177Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-16T22:05:42.706875Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on California's voter ID referendum holds at 50% Yes probability, balancing Republican-led signature drives amid national election integrity debates against Democratic opposition framing it as voter suppression. Recent developments include the initiative's circulation for signatures since early 2024, with backers like election security advocates reporting progress toward the 546,651 needed by July deadlines, though verification remains uncertain. Competitive tension stems from California's Democratic supermajorities in legislature and among voters, historical rejection of similar measures, and potential legal challenges. Tipping factors include signature qualification announcements, early polling data, high-profile endorsements, or court rulings on ballot access, alongside turnout models favoring urban Democrats.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-16T22:13:13.547Z"
  }
}