CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

{
  "id": "174498",
  "ticker": "cdc-issues-level-3-warning-by-december-31",
  "slug": "cdc-issues-level-3-warning-by-december-31",
  "title": "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-01-19T20:35:38.390959Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-01-19T20:35:38.390957Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 728.5492,
  "volume": 91215.45889500003,
  "openInterest": 616.479048,
  "createdAt": "2026-01-19T14:09:04.683567Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-24T08:43:44.581129Z",
  "competitive": 0.9900990099009901,
  "volume24hr": 12.69,
  "volume1wk": 26629.588898999988,
  "volume1mo": 38818.155157,
  "volume1yr": 91215.45889500003,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 728.5492,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1219978",
      "question": "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?",
      "conditionId": "0xd8fc55155395d7c2083725edaebbd0e49d13fad1500ce7c007617cc00869573d",
      "slug": "cdc-issues-level-3-warning-by-december-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "707.2105",
      "startDate": "2026-01-19T20:34:04.450146Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-cdc-issue-a-level-3-warning-by-dec-31-2025-CAG97CPYu69L.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.395\", \"0.605\"]",
      "volume": "91215.45889500003",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-19T14:09:06.242243Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-24T08:42:58.574755Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xe0c64a3931cc83bc612150d9cc153dbf28e9100696eeed23b1ed4a75626b53eb",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 91215.45889500003,
      "liquidityNum": 707.2105,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-01-19",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 12.69,
      "volume1wk": 26629.588898999988,
      "volume1mo": 38818.155157,
      "volume1yr": 91215.45889500003,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"99098756131834347005928583171407714812346106361396875454309713429429740108138\", \"38227246228084078102619159217615033453495322228486864691758293351132521372496\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 12.69,
      "volume1wkClob": 26629.588898999988,
      "volume1moClob": 38818.155157,
      "volume1yrClob": 91215.45889500003,
      "volumeClob": 91215.45889500003,
      "liquidityClob": 707.2105,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-19T20:33:42Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9890952251428006,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "95230",
          "conditionId": "0xd8fc55155395d7c2083725edaebbd0e49d13fad1500ce7c007617cc00869573d",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-06",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.05,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.02,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.145,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.375,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.29,
      "bestBid": 0.37,
      "bestAsk": 0.42,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-19T20:15:13.850695Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10905",
      "ticker": "level-3-warning",
      "slug": "level-3-warning",
      "title": "Level 3 warning",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-01-19T14:07:11.388828Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-24T08:41:01.871199Z",
      "volume24hr": 12.69,
      "volume": 91215.45889500003,
      "liquidity": 750.4509,
      "commentCount": 1,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "103037",
      "label": "Climate & Science",
      "slug": "climate-science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T23:31:52.33537Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.49474Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "570",
      "label": "Pandemics",
      "slug": "pandemics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-25 19:04:40.186+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-25T19:04:40.206Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.504141Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101894",
      "label": "disease",
      "slug": "disease",
      "createdAt": "2025-02-21T20:05:32.851979Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:44.115149Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
      "slug": "science",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "level-3-warning",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus favors \"No\" at 60% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 travel health warning by December 31, driven by stable surveillance data showing no escalating outbreaks warranting the highest \"Avoid Nonessential Travel\" alert. CDC's latest updates maintain Level 2 enhanced precautions for mpox clade Ib in parts of Africa and polio in select regions, with U.S. case rates for monitored threats like measles and H5N1 avian influenza remaining below historical escalation thresholds per official monitoring. Absent new genomic evidence of sustained transmission or imported surges—as tracked by CDC's Global Disease Detection network—recent epidemiological reports indicate low momentum for upgrades, tempering trader expectations ahead of year-end reviews.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T08:24:16.799Z"
  }
}