
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027
Volume
369.0K
24h volume
1.5K
1w volume
13.8K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
26.6K
Liquidity CLOB
26.6K
Start
Nov 18, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 18, 2025
Event ID
83798
Slug
china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Vol 369.0KLiq 26.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book