Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

clavicular-sentenced-to-prison-114

Volume

1.0K

24h volume

887

1w volume

1.0K

Open interest

874

Liquidity

4.3K

Liquidity CLOB

4.3K

Start

Mar 27, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 27, 2026

Event ID

314810

Slug

clavicular-sentenced-to-prison-114

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Clavicular sentenced to prison?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.\n\nCivil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”\n\nIf at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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  "creationDate": "2026-03-27T21:34:30.858757Z",
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      "question": "Clavicular sentenced to prison?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.\n\nCivil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”\n\nIf at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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    {
      "id": "103002",
      "label": "Clavicular",
      "slug": "clavicular",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability for \"No\" on Clavicular— the \"looksmaxxing\" streamer Braden Eric Peters—being sentenced to prison, driven by Arizona prosecutors dropping felony charges for forgery and drug possession last month, averting up to eight years behind bars. His latest arrest three days ago in Fort Lauderdale on a misdemeanor battery warrant tied to a video brawl resulted in quick $1,000 bail release, with Florida statutes capping penalties at 60 days jail or fines rather than prison time for first offenses. Public sentiment views these as escalating viral mishaps for the 20-year-old influencer, but historical leniency for minor streamer infractions and no prior convictions bolster the \"No\" lead. Key catalyst ahead: battery court date, where plea deals could further diminish prison risk.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-30T23:13:13.336Z"
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