Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors \"No\" at 86.5% implied probability for Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by the measure's recent introduction on April 19 by Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) and limited bipartisan backing from Sens. Rand Paul (R-KY) and Bernie Sanders (I-VT), amid post-Iran missile attack de-escalation after Israel's April 13 retaliation. No committee hearings or floor votes are scheduled before the deadline, facing procedural hurdles in a divided Congress where leadership shows little urgency to advance it. Historical war powers resolutions rarely clear both chambers swiftly, reinforcing skepticism despite fleeting Middle East tensions. Upcoming recesses further diminish passage odds.",
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