
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
As of market creation, Delta Air Lines is estimated to release earnings on April 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Delta Air Lines’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.63 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Delta Air Lines reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.63 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Delta Air Lines releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Ticker
dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63
Volume
980
24h volume
503
1w volume
980
Open interest
768
Liquidity
1.3K
Liquidity CLOB
1.3K
Start
Mar 26, 2026
End
Apr 8, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 26, 2026
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/
Event ID
311427
Slug
dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "311427",
"ticker": "dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63",
"slug": "dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63",
"title": "Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?",
"description": "As of market creation, Delta Air Lines is estimated to release earnings on April 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Delta Air Lines’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.63 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Delta Air Lines reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.63 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Delta Air Lines releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"startDate": "2026-03-26T21:45:50.745431Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-26T21:45:50.745413Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-08T13:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63-H28BfMzbeWi_.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63-H28BfMzbeWi_.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 1295.7915,
"volume": 979.7120440000001,
"openInterest": 768.152044,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-03-26T21:40:26.519243Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-30T20:04:18.16389Z",
"competitive": 0.9123255177447313,
"volume24hr": 503.1096289999999,
"volume1wk": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1mo": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1yr": 979.7120440000001,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 1295.7915,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1735232",
"question": "Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?",
"conditionId": "0x3e1b67bac7dae3291574c02e8111f39db5f23c130fcdb4e7a7ecc3a360e997e1",
"slug": "dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"endDate": "2026-04-08T13:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1313.1889",
"startDate": "2026-03-26T21:44:08.851337Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63-H28BfMzbeWi_.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dal-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-08-2026-0pt63-H28BfMzbeWi_.png",
"description": "As of market creation, Delta Air Lines is estimated to release earnings on April 8, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Delta Air Lines’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.63 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Delta Air Lines reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.63 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Delta Air Lines releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.81\", \"0.19\"]",
"volume": "979.7120440000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-26T21:40:27.065704Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-30T20:03:21.562855Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x7a2ad9909079592d3c275e0493570f38d8ae1845302bdad91bdc0ec57b4f184e",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 979.7120440000001,
"liquidityNum": 1313.1889,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-08",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-26",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 503.1096289999999,
"volume1wk": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1mo": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1yr": 979.7120440000001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"86942345070229822178915468157930380484461808761182095834348447308916035769049\", \"81820916968477620716494696230607326124825250959421094760404272073845685926936\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 503.1096289999999,
"volume1wkClob": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1moClob": 979.7120440000001,
"volume1yrClob": 979.7120440000001,
"volumeClob": 979.7120440000001,
"liquidityClob": 1313.1889,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-26T21:43:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9123255177447313,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "116153",
"conditionId": "0x3e1b67bac7dae3291574c02e8111f39db5f23c130fcdb4e7a7ecc3a360e997e1",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-03-27",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.04,
"lastTradePrice": 0.83,
"bestBid": 0.79,
"bestAsk": 0.83,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-26T21:41:50.561681Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"eventStartTime": "2026-04-08T13:00:00Z",
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1013",
"label": "Earnings",
"slug": "earnings",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:27:48.024+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:27:48.029Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.642885Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "103580",
"label": "DAL",
"slug": "dal",
"createdAt": "2026-02-03T16:58:34.615342Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.135874Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.476595Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102676",
"label": "Equities",
"slug": "equities",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-10-14T20:02:08.297777Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.792759Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-04-08T13:00:00Z",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability for Delta Air Lines (DAL) to beat Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS consensus of $0.69, propelled by the carrier's March 17 upward revision to first-quarter revenue guidance at $15.0–$15.3 billion—high-single-digit growth—fueled by surging premium cabin and corporate travel bookings that outpaced March expectations. This resilient demand has offset a $400 million jet fuel cost headwind from Iran-related supply disruptions, with Delta's Monroe refinery hedging providing a cost edge. Building on Q4 2025's EPS beat ($1.55 vs. $1.53 expected), traders anticipate margin expansion ahead of the April 8 earnings release, where capacity utilization and pricing dynamics will clarify the outlook.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-30T17:56:52.908Z"
}
}- Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Vol 980Liq 1.3KEnd Apr 8, 2026OpenOrder book