Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?

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    "context_description": "President Daniel Noboa's decisive re-election in Ecuador's April 2025 presidential runoff, defeating leftist challenger Luisa González by a wide margin amid fraud allegations from opponents, secured him a full four-year term through 2029, anchoring trader consensus at 91.5% odds against his removal by June 30. His hardline \"internal armed conflict\" against narco-gangs, credited for electoral success, persists with recent U.S. cooperation—including joint strikes publicized in late March 2026—bolstering his security-focused mandate despite cross-border tensions with Colombia. Absent snap election calls, impeachment threats, or official resignation statements in recent weeks, markets reflect stability, though late-breaking scandals or health issues could shift dynamics.",
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