Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a red flag is shown at any point during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any red flag periods. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. A red flag shown during practice sessions, qualifying sessions, or any other session besides the main race does not count for this market. Only red flags shown during the Grand Prix race itself will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Ticker

f1-japanese-grand-prix-red-flag-2026-03-29

Volume

1.0K

24h volume

547

1w volume

977

Open interest

694

Liquidity

4.1K

Liquidity CLOB

4.1K

Start

Mar 11, 2026

End

Apr 5, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 11, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Event ID

260850

Slug

f1-japanese-grand-prix-red-flag-2026-03-29

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Favorable dry weather forecasts across the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix weekend at Suzuka—sunny skies Friday through race day with temperatures of 9–18°C and minimal rain risk after recent predictions shifted from wetter conditions—have quelled concerns over precipitation-induced stoppages, a common red flag trigger historically at the circuit. Friday practices featured minor incidents, including Alex Albon clipping barriers at Turn 9 and stewards' probes into on-track actions involving Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton, and others, but produced no red flags despite the high-speed layout's demands under nimbler 2026 regulations. Fresh asphalt enhancing grip by up to 1.5 seconds per lap further bolsters safety perceptions, aligning with traders' 80.5% implied probability of no red flag amid clean sessions so far.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-29T00:58:30.706Z"
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