Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Virtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Ticker

f1-japanese-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-03-29

Volume

951

24h volume

220

1w volume

733

Open interest

779

Liquidity

1.1K

Liquidity CLOB

1.1K

Start

Mar 11, 2026

End

Apr 5, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 11, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Event ID

260849

Slug

f1-japanese-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-03-29

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "260849",
  "ticker": "f1-japanese-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-03-29",
  "slug": "f1-japanese-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-03-29",
  "title": "Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.\n\nThe market will resolve to \"No\" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment.\n\nIf the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nVirtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races",
  "startDate": "2026-03-11T11:35:37.081396Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-11T11:35:37.081391Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-05T05:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 1082.1787,
  "volume": 950.8813000000004,
  "openInterest": 779.031512,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-11T11:30:47.684157Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-28T22:03:51.225931Z",
  "competitive": 0.9686168151879117,
  "volume24hr": 219.74082,
  "volume1wk": 732.525947,
  "volume1mo": 950.8813000000001,
  "volume1yr": 950.8813000000001,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 1082.1787,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1558386",
      "question": "Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?",
      "conditionId": "0x49b72c56b75bd81f6705091382b3405ca83a9f289754f3cc279294f735130dd5",
      "slug": "f1-japanese-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-03-29",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races",
      "endDate": "2026-04-05T05:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1082.1787",
      "startDate": "2026-03-11T11:33:46.911225Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.\n\nThe market will resolve to \"No\" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment.\n\nIf the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nVirtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.68\", \"0.32\"]",
      "volume": "955.8813000000004",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-11T11:30:47.787803Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-28T22:05:17.699311Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "questionID": "0x4a2e80b2093966bbcecf96911d6f3c928d811e040b98fcddeeba6ed173579005",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 955.8813000000004,
      "liquidityNum": 1082.1787,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-05",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-11",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 224.74082,
      "volume1wk": 737.525947,
      "volume1mo": 955.8813000000001,
      "volume1yr": 955.8813000000001,
      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-29 05:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"95625982504978505514592197846837167265957428762141262962303762681296352955453\", \"48655970484731207054574539748719102611079350275307317079718354745680464158902\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 224.74082,
      "volume1wkClob": 737.525947,
      "volume1moClob": 955.8813000000001,
      "volume1yrClob": 955.8813000000001,
      "volumeClob": 955.8813000000004,
      "liquidityClob": 1082.1787,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-11T11:32:41Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9686168151879117,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.04,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.7,
      "bestBid": 0.66,
      "bestAsk": 0.7,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-11T11:31:03.336737Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "435",
      "label": "Formula 1",
      "slug": "formula1",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:07:46.275+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T23:07:46.289Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:42.049772Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100389",
      "label": "f1",
      "slug": "f1",
      "createdAt": "2024-08-28T16:40:04.306172Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:46.837344Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1",
      "label": "Sports",
      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.69129Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102146",
      "label": "Grand Prix",
      "slug": "grand-prix",
      "createdAt": "2025-05-20T17:19:49.383053Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:22.016912Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100639",
      "label": "Games",
      "slug": "games",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "eventDate": "2026-03-29",
  "startTime": "2026-03-29T05:00:00Z",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "gameId": 4805053,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects a 68% implied probability for a safety car during the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, fueled by the circuit's punishing high-speed layout—featuring 130R, Degner curves, and tight Esses—that routinely induces crashes and debris, with historical deployment rates exceeding 60% in recent editions. New 2026 regulations, including active aero replacing DRS and strict energy harvesting mandates, have intensified handling woes, prompting driver frustration over sudden speed drop-offs and reduced race pace through technical sectors. Early-season turbulence, marked by major Australian GP incidents like Piastri's grid crash, Antonelli's FP3 shunt, and Verstappen's qualifying wreck, plus Albon's FP1 collision with Perez at Suzuka two days ago, underscores elevated DNF risks despite a dry, cool weather forecast minimizing rain disruptions.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-28T20:56:46.779Z"
  }
}