Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory by March 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of October 31, 2025. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

hezbollah-strike-on-israel-by-march-7

Volume

354.6K

24h volume

217.7K

1w volume

220.2K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

Start

Feb 28, 2026

End

Mar 7, 2026

Status

Closed

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 28, 2026

Event ID

237064

Slug

hezbollah-strike-on-israel-by-march-7

Markets

1

Raw event data
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