
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30
Volume
97.5K
24h volume
18.0K
1w volume
26.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
14.6K
Liquidity CLOB
14.6K
Start
Jan 6, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 6, 2026
Event ID
147609
Slug
iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "147609",
"ticker": "iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
"slug": "iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
"title": "Iran coup attempt by June 30?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.\n\nClaims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a \"Yes\" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-06T19:45:29.19918Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-06T19:45:29.199178Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30-8SI-ZxJABza-.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30-8SI-ZxJABza-.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 14567.0325,
"volume": 97533.321295,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-01-06T17:58:20.410865Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-01T00:57:38.98033Z",
"competitive": 0.9538344143456696,
"volume24hr": 17987.026886,
"volume1wk": 26225.38851700001,
"volume1mo": 50175.52710499998,
"volume1yr": 97490.58143299991,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 14567.0325,
"commentCount": 11,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1123479",
"question": "Iran coup attempt by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",
"slug": "iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "14900.3415",
"startDate": "2026-01-06T19:39:41.690837Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30-8SI-ZxJABza-.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30-8SI-ZxJABza-.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.\n\nClaims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a \"Yes\" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.72\", \"0.28\"]",
"volume": "97533.321295",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-06T17:58:21.366108Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-01T01:02:57.599146Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x9493a82b0ba752c46f17088dc2e76eaf124c054603735cd4b202f3e0074e738f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 97533.321295,
"liquidityNum": 14900.3415,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-06",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 17987.026886,
"volume1wk": 26225.38851700001,
"volume1mo": 50175.52710499998,
"volume1yr": 97490.58143299991,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"101322624361424459934612537190451876863815027318718596269890092699811291103186\", \"17736854597398191765820321649932263037011221961606447057489098988955658367258\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 17987.026886,
"volume1wkClob": 26225.38851700001,
"volume1moClob": 50175.52710499998,
"volume1yrClob": 97490.58143299991,
"volumeClob": 97533.321295,
"liquidityClob": 14900.3415,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-06T19:39:19Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9538344143456696,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "53822",
"conditionId": "0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2026-01-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.04,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.03,
"lastTradePrice": 0.7,
"bestBid": 0.7,
"bestAsk": 0.74,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-06T19:38:47.65025Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.176417Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:07:32.350064Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:04:41.800728Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
"slug": "middle-east",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.1776Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Vol 97.5KLiq 14.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book