Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?

{
  "id": "73049",
  "ticker": "israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-by-march-31",
  "slug": "israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-by-march-31",
  "title": "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-11-05T16:50:51.970969Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-11-05T16:50:51.970966Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-may-HuHtCwk6jaHk.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-may-HuHtCwk6jaHk.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 16772.41929,
  "volume": 92531.25017699986,
  "openInterest": 27528.64498,
  "createdAt": "2025-11-04T17:32:29.425219Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-28T12:15:38.384198Z",
  "competitive": 0.8031967229573703,
  "volume24hr": 7591.93,
  "volume1wk": 16145.993775,
  "volume1mo": 53295.377304,
  "volume1yr": 92531.25017700001,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 16772.41929,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "665217",
      "question": "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?",
      "conditionId": "0x3a3783238920bcbd57fc901ed1238d4b63fae83c366af3b0ee295b63aaaed439",
      "slug": "israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-by-march-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "16772.41929",
      "startDate": "2025-11-05T16:49:55.063Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-may-HuHtCwk6jaHk.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-may-HuHtCwk6jaHk.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",
      "volume": "92531.25017699986",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-04T17:32:30.210133Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-28T12:14:52.749279Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x83b32f9c207b8e7cb3a7aa79af05fec8d00c75ee6afe9b9fcb8f753f5378120b",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 92531.25017699986,
      "liquidityNum": 16772.41929,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-05",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 7591.93,
      "volume1wk": 16145.993775,
      "volume1mo": 53295.377304,
      "volume1yr": 92531.25017700001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"66073395554504048065016658956365638319706802197874905418347905011430897691261\", \"31745215772699777135504154317109173114591423894565582722738261146321197756033\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 7591.93,
      "volume1wkClob": 16145.993775,
      "volume1moClob": 53295.377304,
      "volume1yrClob": 92531.25017700001,
      "volumeClob": 92531.25017699986,
      "liquidityClob": 16772.41929,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-05T16:49:33Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8031967229573703,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.004,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.007,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.057,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.006,
      "bestBid": 0.003,
      "bestAsk": 0.007,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-05T16:49:05.427793Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10529",
      "ticker": "israel-x-saudi-arabia-relations",
      "slug": "israel-x-saudi-arabia-relations",
      "title": "Israel x Saudi Arabia relations",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-05T19:24:14.00317Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-28T12:15:42.911638Z",
      "volume24hr": 7938.442221,
      "volume": 244788.58023799985,
      "liquidity": 30556.37509,
      "commentCount": 87,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "180",
      "label": "Israel",
      "slug": "israel",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:02.801468Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
      "slug": "middle-east",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:04.104846Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101794",
      "label": "Foreign Policy",
      "slug": "foreign-policy",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-02-06T17:24:29.604203Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:21.425957Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102863",
      "label": "Trump x Saudi",
      "slug": "trump-x-saudi",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-18T03:13:42.449898Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.825873Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "israel-x-saudi-arabia-relations",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 99.5% for Israel and Saudi Arabia establishing full diplomatic relations by March 31, driven by the absence of any official announcements or breakthroughs as the deadline approaches, with just days remaining. Recent US pressure, including President Trump's March 28 urging for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords post-Iran strikes, has yielded no Saudi or Israeli reciprocation, amid Riyadh's prioritization of domestic public opposition and longstanding preconditions like Palestinian statehood progress—talks stalled since the October 2023 Gaza war. A sudden joint declaration or high-level summit could theoretically shift odds, but no such developments are scheduled or indicated.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-28T11:21:54.072Z"
  }
}