Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

israel-military-action-against-iranian-power-plant-by-april-30

Volume

9.7K

24h volume

4.2K

1w volume

9.7K

Open interest

5.3K

Liquidity

8.5K

Liquidity CLOB

8.5K

Start

Mar 27, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 27, 2026

Event ID

308292

Slug

israel-military-action-against-iranian-power-plant-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war, now entering its fifth week since US-Israel strikes began on February 28, Israeli airstrikes over the March 27-29 weekend targeted Iranian energy infrastructure, including a confirmed power plant alongside steel factories and nuclear sites like heavy water facilities near Bushehr, as stated by Iran's foreign minister. These developments, defying President Trump's recent postponement of US power grid attacks amid \"productive\" talks, have propelled Yes odds to 72.5%, capturing trader consensus on continued escalation despite ceasefire signals. Further strikes remain probable by April 30 absent de-escalation, though diplomatic breakthroughs or Iranian retaliation on Gulf energy assets could shift dynamics.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-30T12:59:53.053Z"
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}