Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
israel-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026
Volume
1.9M
24h volume
46.7K
1w volume
933.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
126.9K
Liquidity CLOB
126.9K
Start
Jan 19, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 19, 2026
Event ID
168115
Slug
israel-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Vol 1.9MLiq 127.6KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
