Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Israeli forces have conducted limited ground raids and airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon, but operations remain confined south of the Litani River as of late June 2024, with no confirmed crossings reported by official IDF statements or UNIFIL observers. Recent developments, including the June 27 killing of a senior Hezbollah commander in a strike south of the river and ongoing U.S.-French mediated ceasefire talks enforcing UN Security Council Resolution 1701, underscore Israel's preference for targeted enforcement over major escalation. With just days until the June 30 deadline and no announcements of broader ground advances, traders' 59.5% implied probability on \"No\" reflects consensus on diplomatic pressures and logistical constraints limiting a river crossing.",
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