KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized. A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance. The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

krg-declares-independence-from-iraq

Volume

715

24h volume

715

1w volume

715

Open interest

0

Liquidity

5.2K

Liquidity CLOB

5.2K

Start

Mar 6, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 6, 2026

Event ID

250073

Slug

krg-declares-independence-from-iraq

Markets

1

Raw event data
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