
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized. A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance. The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
kurds-declare-independence-from-iran
Volume
91.2K
24h volume
1.6K
1w volume
21.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
20.7K
Liquidity CLOB
20.7K
Start
Mar 3, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 3, 2026
Event ID
243986
Slug
kurds-declare-independence-from-iran
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Kurds declare independence from Iran?Vol 91.2KLiq 20.7KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book