Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized. A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance. The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

kurds-declare-independence-from-iran

Volume

91.2K

24h volume

1.6K

1w volume

21.2K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

20.7K

Liquidity CLOB

20.7K

Start

Mar 3, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 3, 2026

Event ID

243986

Slug

kurds-declare-independence-from-iran

Markets

1

Raw event data
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      "createdAt": "2026-03-03T17:45:29.295374Z",
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