Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te faces a steep constitutional barrier to impeachment, requiring three-fourths approval (85 of 113 seats) in the Legislative Yuan to initiate proceedings, followed by a two-thirds majority for conviction—a threshold unmet by the fragmented opposition coalition of KMT (52 seats) and TPP (8 seats), which lacks DPP defections or full unity. Recent legislative clashes over budget cuts, recall reforms, and China policy oversight have fueled protests but no impeachment motions, with TPP prioritizing pragmatism over escalation. Traders' 95% consensus on \"No\" by June 30 reflects this stasis and historical reluctance for presidential recalls absent grave scandals. Realistic shifts could stem from a unifying crisis like economic turmoil or security escalation prompting cross-party action, though evidence shows low momentum.",
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