
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ticker
major-cex-insolvent-in-2026
Volume
93.2K
24h volume
9
1w volume
21.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
30.0K
Liquidity CLOB
30.0K
Start
Feb 5, 2026
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 5, 2026
Event ID
199777
Slug
major-cex-insolvent-in-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"slug": "major-cex-insolvent-in-2026",
"title": "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. \n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-02-05T23:35:20.210134Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-05T23:35:20.210125Z",
"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"liquidity": 29992.518,
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"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-02-05T23:04:37.57733Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-27T10:05:56.535592Z",
"competitive": 0.8709094471902284,
"volume24hr": 8.5,
"volume1wk": 21403.514401,
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"enableOrderBook": true,
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"markets": [
{
"id": "1343533",
"question": "Major CEX insolvent in 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x8c8d8c91540aedf3f4ca4194256e9421843ef122155284129f3f5057ad5ec703",
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"endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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"startDate": "2026-02-05T23:34:52.014256Z",
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"umaBond": "500",
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"volume1moClob": 93183.12406699995,
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"liquidityClob": 30609.1758,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-05T23:33:47Z",
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"clobRewards": [
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"tags": [
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:08:42.483174Z",
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{
"id": "103674",
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"slug": "cex",
"createdAt": "2026-02-05T23:04:38.016593Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:19:20.851441Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
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{
"id": "294",
"label": "binance",
"slug": "binance",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:50:37.753+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:50:37.797Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.080582Z",
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}- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Vol 93.2KLiq 30.6KEnd Jan 1, 2027OpenOrder book