Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Ticker

meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30

Volume

16.8K

24h volume

6.5K

1w volume

10.4K

Open interest

8.4K

Liquidity

10.5K

Liquidity CLOB

10.5K

Start

Dec 5, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 5, 2025

Event ID

98223

Slug

meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",
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  "creationDate": "2025-12-05T22:08:01.628079Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "id": "838479",
      "question": "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",
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      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Giorgia Meloni's parliamentary majority remains intact, with her Brothers of Italy-led coalition demonstrating unity on recent budget and fiscal measures, underpinning the 92% trader consensus against her exit as Italy's prime minister by June 30. Polls from early May show her approval steady around 42%, bolstering government stability amid routine legislative progress and no snap election signals. International engagements, including G7 preparations and EU presidency handoff, reinforce continuity, while opposition critiques lack traction for a no-confidence vote. Absent catalysts like coalition fractures or scandals, traders price low risk of upheaval in Italy's fractious political landscape.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T08:41:20.450Z"
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