Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Ticker

milei-out-as-president-of-argentina-before-2027

Volume

9.2K

24h volume

213

1w volume

1.5K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

5.8K

Liquidity CLOB

5.8K

Start

Nov 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 5, 2025

Event ID

73152

Slug

milei-out-as-president-of-argentina-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?",
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    "context_description": "Javier Milei's commanding 2023 election victory and sustained policy momentum underpin the 93.5% trader consensus against his removal as Argentina's president before 2027. Recent passage of the \"Ley Bases\" omnibus reform bill in June 2024, achieving fiscal surplus for the first time in 123 years, and inflation cooling to 4.2% monthly in May bolster his position amid economic recovery signals. No credible impeachment threats have emerged from Congress, where his La Libertad Avanza bloc holds influence despite minority status. Approval ratings hover around 50%, reflecting resilience against austerity protests, with midterms in 2025 as the next key test. Traders see constitutional hurdles and opposition disunity as low-risk factors for early ouster.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-21T05:23:48.455Z"
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