Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

As of market creation, MSC Industrial Direct is estimated to release earnings on April 1, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for MSC Industrial Direct’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.84 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if MSC Industrial Direct reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.84 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If MSC Industrial Direct releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Ticker

msm-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-01-2026-0pt84

Volume

9.4K

24h volume

1.3K

1w volume

9.2K

Open interest

3.9K

Liquidity

465

Liquidity CLOB

465

Start

Mar 19, 2026

End

Apr 1, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 19, 2026

Resolution source

https://seekingalpha.com/

Event ID

286770

Slug

msm-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-01-2026-0pt84

Markets

1

Tags

MSMEquitiesHide From NewEarningsFinance
Raw event data
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  "title": "Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?",
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    "context_description": "Traders price a 57.6% implied probability for MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) to beat fiscal Q1 2025 earnings consensus of $1.34 per share, reflecting cautious optimism amid stabilizing industrial demand and gross margin tailwinds. Q4 results disappointed with $1.23 EPS versus $1.42 expected and flat revenues, but recent average daily sales ticked higher, and company guidance of $1.30-$1.38 brackets analyst estimates closely, signaling potential for an upside surprise via cost controls. Sector peers like Fastenal posted beats on recovering metalworking volumes, bolstering sentiment. The October 29 release looms as the key catalyst, with focus on core customer trends and updated guidance amid soft revenue outlook.",
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