
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Ticker
named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197
Volume
279.0K
24h volume
0
1w volume
21.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
3.1K
Liquidity CLOB
3.1K
Start
Dec 4, 2025
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 4, 2025
Event ID
97429
Slug
named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "97429",
"ticker": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
"slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
"title": "Named storm forms before hurricane season?",
"description": "The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.\n\nIf there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-04T20:35:15.954088Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-04T20:35:15.954084Z",
"endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 3055.3804,
"volume": 279028.575791,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:36.473124Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:04:04.116106Z",
"competitive": 0.9669075878072954,
"volume24hr": 0.16,
"volume1wk": 21400.762816,
"volume1mo": 138467.45217300003,
"volume1yr": 279028.5757909999,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 3055.3804,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "823568",
"question": "Named storm forms before hurricane season?",
"conditionId": "0x3d9534e655c68bd1811bdb721704d7434c6ce214a69043e9e2c4a13c25db33f5",
"slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season-197",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3099.2803",
"startDate": "2025-12-04T20:27:35.815438Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/named-storm-before-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-L5ZsQ43lEwsW.jpg",
"description": "The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.\n\nIf there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",
"volume": "279028.575791",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:37.301356Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:06:58.795325Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x69c5cd9aac6105183b943b50c1ad01708c229667b6f33aaf1cee51689c18b469",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 279028.575791,
"liquidityNum": 3099.2803,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0.16,
"volume1wk": 21400.762816,
"volume1mo": 138467.45217300003,
"volume1yr": 279028.5757909999,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"20600308170198957123987979219658132184209448612977764212098316654034298575953\", \"95242366937399208415473110958333281927436869963466438334270716517261639405981\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 0.16,
"volume1wkClob": 21400.762816,
"volume1moClob": 138467.45217300003,
"volume1yrClob": 279028.5757909999,
"volumeClob": 279028.575791,
"liquidityClob": 3099.2803,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-04T20:27:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9669075878072954,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "47451",
"conditionId": "0x3d9534e655c68bd1811bdb721704d7434c6ce214a69043e9e2c4a13c25db33f5",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 3,
"startDate": "2025-12-04",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.12,
"lastTradePrice": 0.29,
"bestBid": 0.31,
"bestAsk": 0.32,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-04T20:12:15.472002Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10737",
"ticker": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
"slug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
"title": "Named storm forms before hurricane season",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2025-12-04T20:09:45.750657Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:04:10.377793Z",
"volume24hr": 0.16,
"volume": 279028.575791,
"liquidity": 3055.3804,
"commentCount": 0,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101998",
"label": "Natural Disaster",
"slug": "natural-disaster",
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T17:29:21.543627Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:11.125025Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "74",
"label": "Science",
"slug": "science",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:20.36977Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102023",
"label": "hurricane",
"slug": "hurricane",
"createdAt": "2025-04-07T20:00:43.649061Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:20:11.000368Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "87",
"label": "climate",
"slug": "climate",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:38.407+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:38.424Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:08:42.475136Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "84",
"label": "Weather",
"slug": "weather",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:17:34.814Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:15:40.452105Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "named-storm-forms-before-hurricane-season",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Named storm forms before hurricane season?Vol 279.0KLiq 3.1KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book